class: left, top, title-slide

.title[
# Forecasting presidential approval ratings
]
.author[
### <p><strong>G. Elliott Morris</strong></p>
]
.date[
### Feb. 25, 2025 | Cambridge, MA
]

---

# Goals...

### 1. Show what "data journalism" looks like

--

### 2. Teach some skills that may be useful in electoral work

--

### 3. Play with some fun code!

<img src="figures/dude-coding.jpg" width="20%" />

---

# Steps for this analysis

### 1. Gather

--

### 2. Explore

--

### 3. Model

--

### 4. Present

---

### 1. Gather ([link](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/))

<img src="figures/ratings.png" width="100%" />

???

Describe the data. Approval qs, from polls, over time, I calculate an average, etc.

---

### 1. Gather

<img src="figures/trump-average.png" width="100%" />

---

### 1. Gather

<img src="figures/biden-average.png" width="100%" />

---

### 1. Gather

<img src="figures/trump-1-average.png" width="100%" />

---

### 1. Gather

<img src="figures/tibble.png" width="95%" />

---

class: inverse

## 2. Explore

<br><br><br>

.center[

## _Go to code.._

]

---

class: center, inverse

.center[

<br><br><br><br><br><br><br>

# ....

]

---

class: center, inverse

### 4. Present

.center[

<br><br><br><br><br><br><br>

### [Link](https://app.datawrapper.de/edit/kEp8H/publish)

]

Notes for current slide

Notes for next slide

Forecasting presidential approval ratings

G. Elliott Morris

Feb. 25, 2025 | Cambridge, MA

1 / 11

Goals...1. Show what "data journalism" looks like2 / 11

Goals...1. Show what "data journalism" looks like2. Teach some skills that may be useful in electoral work2 / 11

Goals...

1. Show what "data journalism" looks like

2. Teach some skills that may be useful in electoral work

3. Play with some fun code!

2 / 11

Steps for this analysis1. Gather3 / 11

Steps for this analysis1. Gather2. Explore3 / 11

Steps for this analysis1. Gather2. Explore3. Model3 / 11

Steps for this analysis1. Gather2. Explore3. Model4. Present3 / 11

1. Gather (link)

4 / 11

Describe the data. Approval qs, from polls, over time, I calculate an average, etc.

1. Gather

5 / 11

1. Gather

6 / 11

1. Gather

7 / 11

1. Gather

8 / 11

2. Explore

Go to code..

9 / 11

....

10 / 11

4. Present

Link

11 / 11

Goals...1. Show what "data journalism" looks like2 / 11

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